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Monday 23/02/2026

Trump Warns of Economic Chaos as Supreme Court Decision on Tariffs Looms

Donald Trump in a tense courtroom discussing tariffs
Daniel RiveraDaniel Rivera

In This Article

HIGHLIGHTS

  • President Trump warns of a "complete mess" if the Supreme Court strikes down his tariffs, potentially leading to complex refund processes.
  • The tariffs, challenged by businesses and states, have generated over $130 billion under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
  • The Supreme Court's decision, expected soon, could impact US trade policy and national security, with Trump claiming the US would be "screwed" without the tariffs.
  • Oil prices have surged amid Trump's threats of new tariffs on countries trading with Iran, raising geopolitical tensions.
  • The Supreme Court's skepticism over Trump's tariff authority highlights the legal debate on executive power in trade matters.

As the US Supreme Court prepares to deliver a crucial verdict on President Donald Trump's controversial tariff policy, the President has issued stark warnings about the potential fallout. Trump, in a series of posts on Truth Social, expressed concerns that a ruling against his tariffs could create a "complete mess," complicating the refund of billions collected under the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA).

Tariffs Under Scrutiny

The tariffs, which have amassed over $130 billion, are being contested by several businesses and states that argue Trump exceeded his authority. The Supreme Court, with its 6-3 conservative majority, is expected to rule imminently. During a November hearing, justices expressed doubts about the legal basis for the tariffs, emphasizing Congress's role in tax matters. Trump has defended the tariffs as essential for restoring America's manufacturing base and addressing trade imbalances, warning that a loss would weaken the US and jeopardize national security.

Geopolitical Tensions and Oil Prices

In a related development, oil prices have reached a two-month high following Trump's announcement of a 25% tariff on countries trading with Iran. This move comes amid escalating protests in Iran and could further strain international relations. The potential disruption to oil supplies has contributed to the rise in prices, with Brent crude hitting $64.46 per barrel.

Economic and Legal Implications

The outcome of the Supreme Court case could have far-reaching implications for US trade policy. Trump's administration has indicated it may explore alternative legislative avenues to maintain tariffs if the court rules unfavorably. However, businesses affected by the tariffs are hopeful for a decision that deems the levies illegal, potentially leading to significant refunds.

WHAT THIS MIGHT MEAN

The Supreme Court's decision will likely set a precedent for the extent of executive power in trade matters, influencing future administrations' policies. If the court rules against Trump, the administration may face logistical challenges in processing refunds, potentially impacting the economy. Conversely, a favorable ruling could embolden the President to pursue more aggressive trade measures. Additionally, the geopolitical landscape could shift significantly if Trump's tariffs on Iran's trading partners lead to increased tensions or disruptions in global oil supply. Experts suggest that the ruling will either reinforce or challenge the balance of power between the executive branch and Congress in shaping US trade policy.